| 1. Runway and Burn-Rate Forecast | Projects cash balances over time using expected cash receipts and payments. A simple runway estimate divides available cash by average monthly net cash burn. | Opening cash, expected receipts, payroll, operating costs, capital spending, and financing dates. | Projected cash balance, monthly net burn, and estimated runway. | Keep currency conversion assumptions and forecast dates explicit. A simple runway estimate is less reliable when burn varies substantially or large payments are irregular. | Teams needing a clear baseline view of how long current cash may last. |
| 2. Driver-Based Operating Forecast | Links financial outcomes to operating drivers, such as headcount, sales volume, pricing, customer activity, and payment timing. | Hiring plans, compensation, sales pipeline, customer volumes, prices, churn, and vendor contracts. | Revenue, expense, cash-flow, and runway projections tied to changes in operating activity. | Model country-specific hiring costs, currencies, billing practices, and payment terms as separate assumptions where they materially differ. | Businesses whose cash needs are closely connected to hiring, growth, or customer activity. |
| 3. Scenario Planning | Compares alternative sets of assumptions, such as a base case, an upside case, and a downside case. | Changes to revenue, hiring, collections, supplier costs, funding timing, or planned spending. | Side-by-side cash balances, burn rates, and runway estimates for each scenario. | Include relevant regional risks, such as foreign-exchange movements, delayed customer payments, or changes in local operating costs, without treating them as certain outcomes. | Decision-makers assessing spending plans, fundraising timing, or contingency actions. |
| 4. Direct Cash-Flow Forecast | Forecasts cash by estimating receipts and payments during each period, organized by expected cash timing. | Customer receipts, payroll dates, supplier payments, rent, tax payments, debt service, and capital expenditure. | Period-by-period cash inflows, outflows, and closing cash balance. | Payment calendars, bank holidays, settlement delays, and the currency of each cash flow can affect when funds are available. | Short-term liquidity planning and teams that need visibility into payment timing. |
| 5. Indirect Cash-Flow Forecast | Starts with a profit measure and adjusts for non-cash items, working-capital changes, and investing or financing activity to estimate cash movement. | Income statement forecasts, balance-sheet movements, depreciation, receivables, payables, inventory, and planned financing. | Forecast cash-flow statement and projected cash balances. | Align assumptions with local accounting records and reporting periods. Accounting profit and cash movement are not the same measure. | Finance teams integrating cash planning with accounting forecasts and financial statements. |
| 6. Sensitivity and Monte Carlo Analysis | Tests how outputs change when assumptions vary. Monte Carlo analysis repeatedly samples defined probability distributions to show a range of possible outcomes. | Uncertain inputs such as sales timing, collection delays, foreign-exchange rates, and variable costs, with stated ranges or distributions. | Runway ranges, probability-based cash outcomes, and assumptions with the greatest effect on results. | Use transparent, evidence-based ranges and document the data behind them. Results depend on the chosen assumptions and are not guarantees. | Organizations that need to understand uncertainty beyond a single forecast case. |
| 7. Rolling Forecast and Cash-Flow Tracking | Updates the forecast regularly with actual results and extends the forecast horizon as each period closes. | Bank balances, actual transactions, updated budgets, revised hiring plans, and refreshed sales or payment expectations. | Actual-versus-forecast variances, updated cash outlook, and revised runway estimate. | Set consistent cut-off dates, exchange-rate conventions, and reporting rules across entities so that updates are comparable. | Teams that need an ongoing view rather than a forecast prepared only once per budget cycle. |